PREDICTING GOALS IN ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE: A CASE STUDY OF MANCHESTER UNITED FOOTBALL CLUB

Ojo, J.F.

Department of Statistics,

University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria.

E-mail: jfunminiyiojo@yahoo.co.uk  

ABSTRACT

This study develops deterministic and probability models particularly additive and bilinear models with a view to determine the future goals in Manchester United Football Club. The nonlinear and non stationary nature of the series (goals) calls for the use of non linear time series model in addition to the deterministic model. The parameters of these models were estimated using the appropriate technique. The appropriate technique also was used to select the best model which was used to determine the future goals in Manchester United Football Club. For the deterministic model the future goals were determined and for the probability model the direction of goals in future was also determined. The future goals from these models will guide the policy maker (in football match) in decision taken.