Power System Simulation Model Based on Probability Analysis

Chukwuagu I. and B.O. Anyaka
Department of Electrical Engineering,
University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria.
E-mail: chukwuaguifeanyi@yahoo.com
ABSTRACT: By virtue of the vital nature of electric power, both to our economic and personal
well being, a power system is expected to supply electrical energy as economically as possible,
and with a high degree of quality and reliability. The developing countries in general place
higher reliability standard on the performance of electricity supply. However, there has been no
significant study in the context of the Nigeria power sector to power system simulation model
based on probability analysis the technical appraisal of the state power systems in general is
confined to examining the Plant Load Factor (PLF) as a measure of capacity utilization only.
The present study is a modest attempt to evaluate the reliability of the Nigeria power system in
the framework of a theory-informed methodology power system simulation model based on
probability analysis.