Impacts of of of of violent extremism on violent extremism on violent extremism on F FF Foreign oreign oreign D D D Direct irect nvestments in the Lake Chad Basin Countries (LCBCs)

1Ojo Joseph IseOlorunkanmi* ;2 Mathew E. Rotimi; 3Ahmed Ayodele Victor &
1Henry C. Nweke-Love
Department of Political Science and International Relations, Landmark University, Omu-Aran
Department of Economics, Federal University, Lokoja
Department of Economics, Landmark University, Omu-Aran
Email:iseolorunkanmi.joseph@lmu.edu.ng;mathew.rotimi@fulokoja.edu.ng;
ahmed.ayodele@lmu.edu.ng; nweke-love.henry@lmu.edu.ng

ABSTRACT


The LCBCs are those countries that are situated within the Lake Chad area with distinctive characteristics such as small, open, and developing economies. The study pooled time series and cross-sectional data within the Panel Structural Vector Autoregressive (P-SVAR) model framework to examine how FDI responded to terrorism in LCBCs. Using World Bank’s and World Development
Indicators’ (WDI) datasets, the data were sampled at the same frequency, following the Kalman filter technique. The study investigated the extent to which the inflow of FDI is determined by the level of political or institutional quality. It also used a
panel VAR model in a dataset of the LCBCs spanning 2000 to 2019 to explore the extent to which violent extremism in the form of terrorism affected FDI. The findings reveal that FDI significantly responds to terrorism and that terrorism increased military expenditure. It revealed that there is a significant positive
relationship between terrorism and military expenditure.
Keywords: Lake Chad, PSVAR, FDI, Violent extremism, Boko Haram


An Assessment of the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Industrial Performance in Nigeria

1Ojo Joseph IseOlorunkanmi*; 2Mathew E. Rotimi; 2Babatunde Olamide Olaoluwa; 1Ake
Modupe Bosede; Aishat Princess Umar; 3Ahmed Ayodele Victor & 1Ibukun C.Akinojo
1Department of Political Science and International Relations; Landmark University, Omu-Aran
2Department of Economics, Federal University, Lokoja
3Department of Economics, Landmark University, Omu-Aran
Email: iseolorunkanmi.joseph@lmu.edu.ng; mathew.rotimi@fulokoja.edu.ng;
babatundeolamide584@gmail.com; ake.modupe@lmu.edu.ng; aishat.umar@fulokoja.edu.ng
;ahmed.ayodele@lmu.edu.ng; akinojo.ibukun@lmu.edu.ng

ABSTRACT


Foreign Direct Investment has an impact on various aspects of the economy. This study beamed its searchlight on the impact of foreign direct investment on industrial performance. It specifically focused on the manufacturing subsector of the Nigerian economy from 1981 to 2021. The data used in the study were sourced
from the World Bank Development Indicator which includes; manufacturing output, foreign direct investment, interest rate, exchange rate and inflation rate. The variables were subjected to unit root tests in other to ascertain their level of integration. However, the result indicates a mixed order of integration which informs the decision to adopt the ARDL method as the best technique of estimation. The results of this study showed that foreign direct investment exerts a negative and significant impact on manufacturing output in Nigeria in the long
run. Conversely, the impact of foreign direct investment on manufacturing output is weak and positive on manufacturing output in the short run. This indicates that FDI can only contribute to the manufacturing subsector in the short run. The long-run results state a Negative significant impact of the inflation rate on the manufacturing sector of Nigeria. In the long run, disequilibrium in manufacturing output is adjusted at the speed of 34.4%. The pairwise Granger causality analysis reveals that there is no causal relationship between FDI and the Manufacturing sector. The study therefore recommends that Nigeria should focus on foreign
direct investment that has an immediate impact on the manufacturing subsector, and also, any FDI with close substitute should be discouraged using fiscal policy that is, to discourage the inflow of FDI to the manufacturing subsector except for those with essential FDI with the nature to induce manufacturing subsector in the short run.
Keywords: Manufacturing output; foreign direct investment; short and longterm analyses; ARDL; Nigeria.


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